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Heat and carbon coupling reveals ocean warming due to circulation changes

Abstract.

Anthropogenic global surface warming is proportional to cumulative carbon emissions1,2,3; this relationship is partly determined by the uptake and storage of heat and carbon by the ocean4. The rates and patterns of ocean heat and carbon storage are influenced by ocean transport, such as mixing and large-scale circulation5,6,7,8,9,10. However, existing climate models do not accurately capture the observed patterns of ocean warming, with a large spread in their projections of ocean circulation and ocean heat uptake8,11. Additionally, assessing the influence of ocean circulation changes (specifically, the redistribution of heat by resolved advection) on patterns[...]"

Source: Nature
Authors: Ben Bronselaer et al.
DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-020-2573-5

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Is there warming in the pipeline? A multi-model analysis of the Zero Emissions Commitment from CO2

Abstract.

"The Zero Emissions Commitment (ZEC) is the change in global mean temperature expected to occur following the cessation of net CO2 emissions and as such is a critical parameter for calculating the remaining carbon budget. The Zero Emissions Commitment Model Intercomparison Project (ZECMIP) was established to gain a better understanding of the potential magnitude and sign of ZEC, in addition to the processes that underlie this metric. [...]"

Source: Biogeosciences
Authors: Andrew H. MacDougall et al.
DOI: 10.5194/bg-17-2987-2020

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